Scott Adams:
"If you analyze a complicated situation with multiple variables in play, and you conclude that only one of them was decisive, there's a good chance your are practicing loserthink [i.e. ineffective thinking].
You will be most tempted to default to one-variable thinking in the following situations in your life:
1. Figuring out why a relationship isn't working
2. Understanding the motivations of friends and family
3. Making business decisions in complicated situations"
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"loserthinkers ... decided they could gaze into a situation that had hundreds of important variables and deduce 'the one that mattered'. "
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